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    Political Storm Clouds Gather Over Pakistan

    Imran Khan was voted out of office after only three and a half years on 10 April 2022 by a vote of no confidence in parliament. He seemed to have become totally estranged from the powerful Pakistan Army Chief, General Qamar Javed Bajwa, who had supported his election and sustained him in power.

    By Shuja Nawaz

    Khan’s coalition allies in parliament deserted him and the opposition coalesced against him. His resort to legal legerdemain and use of his faithful speaker of the house and president of the country to nullify the vote of no confidence proceedings failed, as the Supreme Court unanimously voted against him. In what many thought may have been an ill-considered move, Khan ceded defeat by asking his parliamentarians to resign from their seats. Soon, Khan was back where he had started — on the streets and on the campaign trail — with massive rallies to show his strength outside parliament and demanding fresh elections.

    Parliament’s five-year term ends in August 2023. Khan’s party wants elections for a new parliament now, while he can mobilise crowds outside parliament. Fuelling his anger was his charge that the United States helped foment a conspiracy to oust him because he was championing Islam and adopting an independent foreign policy. His opponents pointed to the economic hole that he had dug for Pakistan, made deeper by the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

    Nawaz, an eminence grise

    The Pakistani rupee continued to tumble against the US dollar, foreign direct investment was heading in the wrong direction, with negative flows of US$30.4 million in March, and fiscal and current deficits growing. Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund’s US$6 billion lending program remained suspended, with US$3 billion undisbursed. Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves went below US$11 billion, most of what remained was callable short-term capital from friendly countries. Khan’s Pakistan was on the brink of economic collapse, and he alone was to blame for this poor governance.

    A politically expedient coalition has formed a government, mainly made up of people who have ruled Pakistan many times over. They have a tenuous though unpublished accord with the army that prefers to run things from behind the curtains. Ostensibly, they have signed a new Charter of Reforms. This is an aspirational list of seemingly unattainable goals that remind many of the Charter of Democracy signed against military autocrat Pervez Musharraf in 2006 that quickly fell apart.

    The new Prime Minister is Shehbaz Sharif, former chief minister of Punjab, who has a reputation of being an active and involved administrator. But his government is shadowed by an eminence grise, his elder brother and former prime minister Nawaz Sharif who escaped his legal woes in Pakistan by taking medical leave in London. The cabinet announced by Sharif had to have the elder brother’s approval. No doubt, he will become the arbiter of any feuds that erupt between the coalition partners. It will not be smooth sailing.

    Pakistan PTI Rally Army Bajwa USA

    If Khan hits the streets

    If the new government manages to keep its head above the choppy economic waters, it faces many domestic political issues. Khan had failed to unify the fractured polity of Pakistan. Sharif will need to bring the centre and the periphery together. This will entail conceding more power and resources to Balochistan, Sindh and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and less to Punjab. The federal government is already struggling under the previous division of resources under the hastily and poorly implemented 18th amendment. Without massive borrowing from abroad and a rapid revival of growth, the government may not be able to win the next election.

    If the elections are held before November 2022, Khan could well score a surprising comeback win. He would then be able to select a new, more friendly or compliant army chief in place of Bajwa. If that happens, all of the political somersaults of April would have come to naught. This seemed to be the underlying message that Bajwa was conveying to invited gatherings of civil and retired military officers recently, as conveyed by pro-Khan commentators who resorted to social media to share their summaries of his discussions with them.

    The military also openly though belatedly came out against the Khan allegation of a conspiracy theory of a US threat to upturn the government. That may have been too little, too late. Khan already had his anti-US campaign platform ready to deploy. The military’s silence helped him prepare the ground for his protest demonstrations and calls for fresh elections.

    If elections do not take place soon, Khan may take his show of strength to the streets, prompting the opposition to rally their forces. Civil unrest amidst the bubbling cauldron of economic and political woes may make Pakistan ungovernable again. This could well tempt the current or a new army chief to step in to ‘save the nation’, creating a veritable Egypt on the Indus scenario. Pakistan has seen that movie before. It never ends well.

     

    Shuja Nawaz is Distinguished Fellow in the South Asia Center at the Atlantic Council. His latest book is The Battle for Pakistan: The Bitter US Friendship and a Tough Neighbourhood (Rowman & Littlefield, 2020).

     

    This piece has been sourced form the East Asia Forum of the Australian National University.

    Pakistan’s BISP Caravan On The Move Once Again; Targets One Crore Families

    Pakistan’s Minister for Poverty Alleviation and Social Safety, Shazia Marri, has announced that the Benazir Income Support Program (BISP) will cover one crore families. The minister’s announcement follows Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s directives to reinstate “eligible persons”.

    Pakistan’s Minister for Poverty Alleviation and Social Safety, Shazia Marri said on Thursday that the government’s flagship cash-transfer programme, the Benazir Income Support Programme (BISP) would expand its outreach to eight million families till the month of June and then on will cover 10 million families.

    Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif had also given directions to reinstate “eligible persons” in the scheme. The previous Imran Khan government had removed 820,165 names from the BISP database, describing the beneficiaries as “undeserving”.

    “Unfortunately the increased ratio of poverty, inflation and unemployment in the country has led to economic instability during last few years which require expansion of BISP to provide financial relief to the poor masses”, she told journalists.

    To a question on re-inclusion of the expelled BISP beneficiaries, the federal minister said it was unfortunate that around 8,20,000 beneficiaries were expelled from the poverty reduction programme in 2019 without any verification or investigation, while giving an impression that they were ineligible and affluent.

    Minister Shazia Marri said that beneficiaries were expelled on the basis of unjustified filters but those responsible during the previous government didn’t respond.

    “I have decided after receiving briefing from the officials that those disqualified on the basis of unjustified filters including phone bill of up to Rs. 1000, making of urgent Passport and urgent CNIC, foreign travel etc. will be given a right to appeal”, she said.

    “This decision of expelling BISP beneficiaries was taken without verification, investigation or giving them right to register complaint which is injustice”, she argued.

    Pakistan BISP government income support cash transfer programme for poor

    Financial irregularities

    The BISP has collected the data of 34 million households, of which over seven million families are presently covered.

    In a 2021 report, Pakistan’s Auditor General blew the lid off a pool of financial irregularities in the cash transfers, pointing out that thousands of family members of people employed in the government were benefiting from the programme.

    The auditor general’s report pointed out financial irregularities in BISP to the tune of billions of rupees worth, even saying that the programme was hostage to charitable government employees and officials.

    According to the audit report 2020-21, so far no recovery has been made from government employees and officers who have been taking money in the name of deserving people.

    The auditor’s office had directed the BISP to recover the amount taken by government employees, following which the administration had recovered Rs. 900,000 from its officers alone.

    So What is the Second Most (Ab)Used Resource On Earth?

    Yes, you guessed it right. It is indeed sand. After water, sand is the most used resource globally.

    Now, a study published by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) warns countries across the world to be aware that their development is at stake unless they take better care of this common, but precious resource. 

    A report released by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) says that the world cannot continue to keep taking 50 billion tonnes of sand out of the ground and sea every year without serious consequences.

    Called the Sand and Sustainability: 10 Strategic Recommendations to Avert a Crisis, the report says, that extracting sand from rivers, and coastal or marine ecosystems, can lead to erosion, salination of aquifers, loss of protection against storm surges and impacts on biodiversity.

    Interestingly, the report has calculated that the world uses 50 billion tonnes of sand and gravel each year, enough to build a wall 27 metres wide and 27 metres high around planet earth.

    Given our dependency on it, sand must be recognized as a strategic resource and its extraction and use needs to be rethought, the new report finds.

    The continued unabated use of sand poses a threat to livelihoods through, among other things, water supply, food production, fisheries, or to the tourism industry, the report says.

    According to the report’s authors, sand must be recognised as a strategic resource, not only as a material for construction, but also for its multiple roles in the environment. They stress that governments, industries and consumers should price sand in a way that recognises its true social and environmental value.

    Precious resource. Extract mindfully.

    The report provides guidance on switching to improved practices for extracting and managing the resource.

    According to its authors, sand must be recognized as more than a construction material, but as a strategic resource with multiple roles in the environment.

    Extracting sand from rivers and coastal or marine ecosystems can lead to erosion, salination of aquifers, loss of protection against storm surges and impacts on biodiversity – posing a threat to livelihoods, including through water supply, food production or fisheries, as well as the tourism industry.

    The authors stress that governments, industries and consumers should price sand in a way that recognizes its true social and environmental value.

    “Our sand resources are not infinite, and we need to use them wisely,” said Pascal Peduzzi, Director of GRID-Geneva at UNEP and report programme coordinator.

    “To achieve sustainable development, we need to drastically change the way we produce, build and consume products, infrastructures and service.”

    Shifting sands?

    Keeping sand on coasts may be the most cost-effective strategy for climate adaptation because it protects against storm surges and sea level rise. They argue that such services should be factored into its value.

    Moreover, the report proposes that an international standard be developed on how sand is extracted from the marine environment, underscoring that it could bring about dramatic improvements as most marine dredging is done through public tenders, open to international companies.

    It also recommends banning sand extraction from beaches as it is crucial for coastal resilience, the environment and the economy.

    “Given our dependency on sand, it should be recogniszd as a strategic resource and its extraction and use needs to be reassessed”, Peduzzi attested.

    As an essential element in producing concrete for vital infrastructure, sand is critical to economic development.

    It also provides habitats for flora and fauna while supporting biodiversity, including marine plants that act as carbon sinks or filter water.

    Despite its importance in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and tackling the triple planetary crisis of climate change, pollution and biodiversity loss, sand is being used faster than it can be naturally replenished, making its responsible management crucial.

    “If we can get a grip on how to manage the most extracted solid material in the world, we can avert a crisis and move toward a circular economy,” said Peduzzi.

    Banning the landfilling of mineral waste and encouraging sand to be reused in public procurement contracts, are among the policy measures cited that will aid the move towards a virtuous, circular economy for sand.

    The report also details that crushed rock, recycled construction, demolition material, and ‘ore-sand’ from mine tailings are viable alternatives that should be incentivized.

    For sand to be more effectively governed and best practices implemented, new institutional and legal structures are needed.

    Sand resources must furthermore be mapped, monitored and reported on, the report recommends, and everyone involved in decisions related to its management, allow for place-based approaches and avoid one-size-fits-all solutions, the paper stressed.

     

    Image: Hippopx, licensed to use under Creative Commons Zero – CC0

     

     

     

    Asia’s Coastal Cities ‘Sinking Faster Than Sea Level-Rise’

    Coastal cities in Asia are sinking faster than sea level rise, mainly due to unregulated groundwater extraction, say researchers identifying “fast-subsiding areas”.

    By Purple Romero

    Manila and several other coastal Asian cities are sinking faster than the rate of sea level rise, says a study which calls for strict regulatory measure to reduce groundwater extraction, identified as a major cause for land subsidence.

    Since 1993, sea level rise has been happening at a rate of around three millimetres per year, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

    However, the Philippine capital saw land subsiding by more than 2 centimetres per year between 2015 and 2020, almost seven times faster than the average sea level rise, increasing the likelihood of flooding. The phenomenon of land sinking faster than sea level rise is more pronounced in Asian cities than elsewhere, says the study published April in Geophysical Research Letters.

    The study covered 99 coastal cities all over the world, 33 of which have areas or parts that have subsided by more than a centimetre per year.  Researchers Pei-Chin WuMatt Wei and Steven D’Hondt from the Graduate School of Oceanography at the University of Rhode Island used satellite-based Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar to identify “fast-subsiding areas”.

    Excessive groundwater extraction

    The study said excessive groundwater extraction is most likely the reason for the sinking of some areas in these cities – potentially affecting 59 million people. Past studies have cited rapid population increase, expanding industrial and agricultural production, absence of water treatment and poor water quality of available surface water due to pollution are among the major reasons for increasing reliance on groundwater.

    “In most cities, part of the land is subsiding faster than sea level is rising,” the study said. “If subsidence continues at present rates, these cities will be challenged by flooding much sooner than projected by sea level rise models. The most rapid subsidence is occurring in South, South-East, and East Asia. However, rapid subsidence is also happening in North America, Europe, Africa, and Australia.”

    Wei told SciDev.Net that land subsidence has lessened in Manila, though unregulated groundwater extraction may negate any gains.

    “According to one study, Manila had subsided at 3 centimetres per year from 2003 to 2010. So, our observation of 2 centimetres per year between 2015 and 2020 is slower,” Wei told SciDev.Net.

    Wei and his fellow researchers say that their findings indicated that subsidence rates in Jakarta, Indonesia and Shanghai, China “have slowed significantly likely due to reduced groundwater extraction rates implemented as government regulations”.

    Between 1982 and 2010, land in Jakarta subsided by as much as 28 centimetres. In Shanghai, the land subsidence rate between 1990 and 2001 was 1.6 centimetres per year. From 2015 to 2020, however, subsidence fell and most drastically in Jakarta where it was 3 centimetres per year.

    Development issue

    While looking for alternative sources of groundwater is a necessary solution, Manila needs to change how economic development is being pursued overall, says Rodrigo Narod Eco, a former researcher at the Marine Science Institute at the University of the Philippines.

    “I think the problem is fundamentally a development issue, where we have unabated conversion of landscapes and seascapes. For example, the subsiding areas in Manila City are mostly reclaimed land. Same as some other places too, like in Dagat-Dagatan, which was reclaimed during the Marcos dictatorship. Before that, it was a communal fishing ground,” he told SciDev.Net.

    “I think it can be possible to find alternative water sources, but we should still ask where the demand for water is coming from. Is it from commercial establishments, factories, plantations, fishponds? Even if we have alternative water sources, will it be available to households? Will the distribution be equitable?”

    Meanwhile, the threat of land subsidence remains. Indonesia is being compelled to shift its capital to Nusantara from Jakarta where, as the study points out, places like Bekasi regency in the Indonesian capital are subsiding at two centimetres per year due to groundwater extraction.

    Semarang, the capital of Indonesia’s Central Java province, has seen land sinking by three centimetres per year as with Tianjin in China. This “dwarfed” the global mean sea level rise by almost 15 times, the study said.

    Wei said the authorities in these coastal cities should be able to develop solutions that will address both the problems of land subsidence and sea-level rise. “The government should include coastal subsidence in their plan for sea level rise,” he said.

    Russia Agrees ‘In Principle’ to UN and Red Cross Involvement in Evacuations From Mariupol

    Guterres proposed that the UN, the International Committee of the Red Cross, and Ukrainian and Russian forces, coordinate work to both enable the safe evacuation of civilians who want to leave Mariupol.

    Russia has agreed “in principle” to United Nations involvement in the evacuation of citizens from the last remaining holdout in the Ukrainian city of Mariupol, following a meeting between Secretary-General António Guterres and President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on Tuesday.

    The UN chief, who was in the Russian capital for talks on the war in Ukraine, also met with the country’s Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov.

    During his “tête-a-tête meeting” with President Putin, Guterres reiterated the UN’s position on Ukraine, according to a readout issued by his Spokesperson, Stephane Dujarric.

    They also discussed proposals for humanitarian assistance and evacuation of civilians from conflict zones, namely in relation to the situation in the besieged port city of Mariupol, where thousands of civilians and Ukrainian troops remain holed up in the Azovstal steel mill.

    “The President agreed, in principle, to the involvement of the United Nations and the International Committee for the Red Cross in the evacuation of civilians from the Azovstal plant in Mariupol”, said Dujarric.

    He added that follow-on discussions will be held with the UN humanitarian affairs office, OCHA, and the Russian Defence Ministry.

    ‘Frank discussion’

    Guterres told reporters that he had held “a very frank discussion” with Lavrov “and it is clear that there are two different positions on what is happening in Ukraine.”

    Russia has said it is conducting a “special military operation” in Ukraine, while for the UN, the 24 February invasion is a violation of the country’s territorial integrity and goes against the UN Charter.

    “But it is my deep conviction that the sooner we end this war, the better – for the people of Ukraine, for the people of the Russian Federation, and those far beyond,” he said.

    Underlining his role as a “messenger of peace”, the Secretary-General recalled that the UN has repeatedly appealed for ceasefires to protect civilians, as well as political dialogue towards a solution, which so far has not happened.

    Referring to the “violent battle” underway across the Donbas in eastern Ukraine, he noted that many civilians are being killed, and hundreds of thousands are trapped by the conflict, adding that repeated reports of violations, as well as possible war crimes, will require independent investigation for effective accountability.

    Humanitarian corridors

    “We urgently need humanitarian corridors that are truly safe and effective and that are respected by all to evacuate civilians and deliver much-needed assistance.”

    The Secretary-General has proposed establishment of a Humanitarian Contact Group – comprising Russia, Ukraine and the UN – “to look for opportunities for the opening of safe corridors, with local cessations of hostilities, and to guarantee that they are actually effective. “

    Addressing the “crisis within a crisis” in Mariupol, where thousands are in dire need of life-saving assistance, and for many, evacuation, he underlined the UN’s readiness to fully mobilize its human and logistical resources to help save lives.

    Guterres proposed that the UN, the International Committee of the Red Cross, and Ukrainian and Russian forces, coordinate work to both enable the safe evacuation of civilians who want to leave Mariupol – both inside the last redoubt of the Azovstal steel plant, and in the city itself, and in any direction they choose – and to deliver humanitarian aid.

    Global shock waves

    Turning to the wider impacts of the war, the Secretary-General spoke of some of the “shock waves” being felt across the globe, such as the “dramatic acceleration” in food and energy costs, which particularly are affecting millions of the world’s most vulnerable people.

    “This comes on top of the shock of the continued COVID-19 pandemic and uneven access to resources for recovery, that particularly penalize developing countries around the world.  So, the sooner peace is established, the better – for the sake of Ukraine, Russia, and for the world,” he said.

    “And it’s very important, even in this moment of difficulty, to keep alive the values of multilateralism,” he added.

    The Secretary-General underlined the need for a world that is “multipolar”, that abides by the UN Charter and international law, and which recognizes full equality among States, in hopes that humanity will again unite to address common challenges such as climate change “and in which the only war we should have would be a war of those that put the planet at risk.

    The Secretary-General will be in Ukraine on Thursday where he will have a working meeting with Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba, and he will be received by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

    Afghan Moms Receive a Fresh Start in the United States

    Despite the quality care she received, she still prefers the Afghan medical system. “Our doctors in Afghanistan were more knowledgeable,” said Freshta, who spent considerable time working in a hospital setting as a medical student and could only look on while U.S. medical staff struggled

    By Lori Silberman Brauner  /  Inter Press Service

    It was a long, harrowing road for Freshta and Shabaneh, two mothers (their names are pseudonyms) who fled Kabul, Afghanistan, late last summer before eventually settling in the southern New Jersey township of Hamilton.

    Shabaneh, 30, the mother of three boys who was then between four and five months pregnant, recalls her flight out of Kabul’s Hamid Karzai International Airport on a U.S. army plane under less-than-optimal conditions.

    Whatever seats had been in place had been removed from the plane to accommodate all the passengers, and she had no choice but to sit with her kids on plastic bags on the floor. “They were crying and I was nauseous,” she said through a translator. “I was feeling terrible.”

    Freshta, 27, a medical student who fled the country with her husband and three kids, was then between two and three months pregnant. Before leaving, she had to pass through checkpoints manned by the Taliban, who questioned her paperwork, hassling her before she bravely told them: “Put your guns away, there are children here.”

    The two families were among the more than 84,600 Afghan nationals, American citizens, and Lawful Permanent Residents who (as of Feb. 19) have arrived in the United States as part of Operation Allies Welcome, the coordinated federal government effort to support and resettle Afghan refugees — including those who worked on behalf of the United States — with more than 76,000 Afghan nationals having been resettled across the country, according to the Department of Homeland Security.

    Had a good life in Afghanistan

    Both women’s husbands worked for American organizations, which enabled them to come to the United States on Special Immigrant Visas (SIVs): Shabaneh’s at a U.S. NGO, and Freshta’s at an American security company. Both women have parents and extended family left behind in Afghanistan, and requested pseudonyms to protect their well-being.

    Through a translator, Sara Abasi, a volunteer ESL teacher who has been tutoring her, Shabaneh said that due to the Taliban takeover “our life was in danger,” so they decided to come to the United States.

    The scariest moment before her departure was the morning, Aug. 15, when the Taliban took over Kabul; her husband was at work. “We couldn’t contact my husband,” as the Taliban had shut down the phone system. “I didn’t know if he was dead or alive.” He eventually returned home at 9 p.m. after walking for hours from his office.

    Freshta’s family, it turns out, could have come to the U.S. in 2018 through the SIV program, but changed their minds because, as Abasi said, “they had a good life over there.”

    But after last summer’s Taliban takeover, because of their connection to the U.S. government (her brother-in-law was also working for them), “their data was in the Taliban’s hands, so their lives were in danger.” Freshta, who had been training as a medical student in Kabul, then had two girls and a boy.

    Good food. Bad beds

    After Shabaneh’s family’s six-hour flight, they wound up at the Al Udeid Air Base in Doha, Qatar, where they spent 13 days before coming to the U.S. While “the food was great,” the living conditions were terrible, with no real beds or privacy, Shabaneh said. “We couldn’t sleep.”

    It may have been even worse before her arrival — an Aug. 24 report in Axios detailed an email sent by supervisory special agent Colin Sullivan, an official at U.S. Central Command, to his colleagues titled “Dire conditions at Doha,” stating that the base, which had no air conditioning, was awash in loose feces and urine and infested with rats.

    Following the revelation, the Pentagon told Axios it had taken concrete steps to improve conditions on the ground, including installing more than 100 toilets and offering 7,000 traditional Afghan meals three times a day.

    The next stop for Shabaneh’s family was in the United States, at the Fort Bliss military installation outside of El Paso, Texas. There she had four or five prenatal check-ups and they had pillows and beds to sleep in, but conditions were still far from pleasant. The location had “very big bugs” — cockroaches — according to Lindsey Stephenson, another translator for the women. They grabbed the first resettlement opportunity they were offered, in New Jersey.

    Freshta spent eight days in Qatar before coming to the U.S., and three months at the Fort Pickett military base in Virginia. As she tells it, “we didn’t have enough doctors,” only for emergencies, and it was difficult to eat the food while pregnant and nauseous — although she did have two ultrasounds to check on the baby’s health.

    Kind to me

    By the time conditions had improved, her family had left the base to be resettled in Hamilton, a large Trenton, NJ, suburb.

    While the women were finally able to live in real housing, challenges remained for them in terms of accessing health care. Stephenson explained the women’s situation while having their initial post-base check-ups in New Jersey.

    Noting that their resettlement agency had a contract with Eric B. Chandler Health Center, a community health center in New Brunswick affiliated with Robert Wood Johnson (RWJ) Medical School, she said that it was a good 45 minutes away. While pregnant women receive priority, it is still a hassle; and on top of that, “they don’t drive. They have to be driven… and guess what, their kids weren’t in school either.”

    Shabaneh, who discretely nursed her two-month-old son while speaking in her apartment — as her kids, Freshta’s kids, and Stephenson’s kids noisily played around them — eventually gave birth at RWJ University Hospital. “They were really kind to me,” she said. From the beginning she chose to breastfeed, although she was offered formula as a feeding option.

    Freshta also praised the care she received as a pregnant woman, noting that when she experienced a change in the baby’s movements, she instantly was told to come to the hospital — Capital Health in Hopewell, NJ — where she remained for 25 hours for evaluation.

    Prefers Afghan medical system

    Yet despite the quality care she received, she still prefers the Afghan medical system. “Our doctors in Afghanistan were more knowledgeable,” said Freshta, who spent considerable time working in a hospital setting as a medical student and could only look on while U.S. medical staff struggled to insert a needle in her arm for routine blood work. As Stephenson noted, “because of the lack of technology, then people actually have to be more skillful with their hands.”

    Virtua Health Systems, which has five hospitals in southern NJ, and whose Mt. Holly location is just down the street from Joint Base McGuire-Dix-Lakehurst — the military base where many of the Afghan refugees were housed after coming to the United States — saw some 123 births from this population and over 1,000 encounters “in triage,” said Pamela Gallus, RN, assistant vice president of patient care services, Virtua Mt. Holly Hospital. “And we really early on saw them for a lot of other things other than deliveries. We did a lot of their prenatal care when they first arrived.”

    What kind of medical care had these women previously had in Afghanistan? “It was somewhat variable,” said Dr. Michelle Salvatore, medical director, OB/GYN Hospitalists at Virtua Mt. Holly. “Some of the patients had what we would consider regular physician prenatal care prior to coming.

    I would say that was not the majority of patients. Many of the patients lived in remote places in Afghanistan and villages and…and hadn’t really had a lot of interface with health care…. So, this was a little bit of a different scenario as we were trying to provide more of a preventative care-type model for them.”

    Knew formula was an option

    Asked about their physical conditions when they landed in the hospitals, Dr. Nicole Lamborne, Virtua’s vice president of clinical operations-women’s health, said that despite the “incredible amount of stress they were under… physically, I don’t think we saw too many issues of really malnourished [patients], just different nourished.”

    While in general, they were thinner patients, “it actually reduces some of our obstetrical complications — they were much more used to walking places. So, I think physically, in a lot of ways, they’re healthier than some of the patients that we have in the United States.”

    Afghan women demonstrated interesting cultural patterns for breastfeeding after giving birth. “Every one of them was seen by a lactation consultant,” said Gallus. While only about 40 out of some 120 patients breastfed exclusively, “there were only two or three who [exclusively] formula fed,” Gallus said.

    “The rest of them all ‘combo fed,’ where they gave a little bit of formula and primarily breastfed, because that is their culture. But they often felt that until their milk was established…they wanted to be able to give the baby some form of nutrient.”

    Does it really matter if a newborn gets just a few bottles of formula? While the milk of women who exclusively formula feed will eventually come in — “it’s just a better supply” if one exclusively breastfeeds, said Virtua Mt. Holly Lactation Consultant Shirley Donato, RN, acknowledging that “it’s helping the baby to learn how to breastfeed and things like that.”

    The new moms “came in knowing about formula…I don’t know if they educated them on the base about their choices and to make sure they had formula if they were formula feeding, but they came in knowing that formula was an option,” Lamborne said. “They had formula on the base,” Gallus concurred.

    Infant formula in infant settings

    There are recommended practices for the introduction of infant formula into humanitarian settings, said Hannah Tappis, DrPH, MPH, a senior technical adviser at Jhpiego, an affiliate of John Hopkins University, whose expertise focuses on maternal health in crisis situations.

    “The best thing you can do for a lot of places is give cash — not to send your old things or to, you know, go to Costco and stock up on formula,” Tappis said. “The best thing to do is to donate to organizations that if that’s what they need they’ll purchase [it].”

    But donating formula “in a more global context” is not recommended, she said. “And you know, that doesn’t mean small charities or church charities aren’t doing it. But certainly the big organizations wouldn’t accept it, and it would be generally discouraged.”

    At least before the women left the army base, Virtua medical personnel tried to create an atmosphere most conducive to breastfeeding. “One of the things that we always do here is we do ‘skin to skin’ as soon as the baby is born, so we put the baby actually on the chest and the breast,” Gallus said. Virtua also facilitates full-time rooming in with the babies to facilitate bonding; there is no nursery per se where the babies are lined up by bassinets.

    In the meantime, Freshta, who was nearing the end of her pregnancy during a reporter’s visit, gave birth to a healthy baby boy on April 6. Although she had had a C-section, according to Stephenson, she was ready to return home after just two nights in the hospital. She chose to breastfeed him.

     

    Lori Silberman Brauner is an award-winning journalist, editor and freelance writer who most recently served as deputy managing editor at the New Jersey Jewish News.

    This story has been sourced from Inter Press Service.

    Image: UNHCR

    Greenpeace India Uses RTI to Debunk Government Claims On Fortified Rice

    The government replies blow in the face of claims of fortified rice being a silver bullet to solve the high prevalence of undernutrition and anaemia in India. The government has given a go-ahead to the provisioning of fortified rice as part of the Public Distribution Scheme.

    Two queries by Greenpeace India addressed to different bodies of the government under the Right to Information Act have thrown up discrepancies that blow the lid off the government’s claims on fortified rice, the international NGO claims.

    In a RTI response, the Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution could not provide any specific survey or data on the scientific basis for the pilot project of rice fortification, Greenpeace India claimed.

    The reply mentioned that the ministry had taken into consideration the National Family Health Survey- 4 (NFHS-4) to approve the Centrally Sponsored Pilot Scheme on ‘Fortification of Rice and its Distribution under Public Distribution System’ for a period of three years beginning in 2019-20.

    In the reply received by Greenpeace, the ministry has said that, “Third-party evaluation of the ongoing pilot scheme is due in the third year i.e. in 2021-2022,” which hasn’t been done yet.

    ICMR-NIN Study

    Another RTI question from Greenpeace India aimed at the Indian Council of Medical Research, National Institute of Nutrition (ICMR-NIN). The organisation enquired if the twosome had conducted any study to estimate the wholesome impact of the chemically fortified food on the health of people with special focus on pregnant women, nursing mothers, under five year children, undernourished and malnourished children.

    In response, ICMR-NIN mentioned that they have not conducted any study to ascertain the impact of chemically fortified food.

    ICMR has also said that it did conduct a double blind randomized controlled study in government primary school children (in the 5 to 11 years age group) on fortified rice served as part of their mid-day meal. But their findings showed, “iron fortified rice has a similar effect as mid-day meal on improvement in anaemia.”

    This reply to the query is certain to lead to further questions by advocacy groups doubting government’s assumptions and claims that fortified rice could be helpful in eradicating anaemia.

    A clear inference of this reply, says Greenpeace India, is that mid-day meal schemes can be a boost in the fight against malnutrition and anaemia, if improvised with attention to food diversity and effectively implemented.

    Diverse diets work better

    These replies blow in the face of government claims of fortified rice being a silver bullet to solve the high prevalence of undernutrition and anaemia in the country. The government has given a go-ahead to the provisioning of fortified rice as part of the Public Distribution Scheme.

    According to Dr Veena Shatrugna, Former Deputy Director of the National Institute of Nutrition, “The fortification project is not formulated from a sound medical science point of view. Any one food item cannot provide all nutrients in adequate amounts.”

    “Solutions to anaemia, hunger and malnutrition can only be resolved by introducing diverse foods like several cereals, pulses, fruits, vegetables and even animal foods into the diet rather than looking for a one bullet solution like fortification,” she says.

    “Enough research is available to suggest that only dietary diversity can ensure eradication of malnutrition and anaemia,” said Ishteyaque Ahmed, Senior Campaigner at Greenpeace India. “The government must focus on making mid-day meals and PDS more effective by making it regular and also adding adequate nutritional value.”

    The Central government believes that fortified food will help fight the crisis of undernutrition and anaemia. The public distribution system (PDS), mid-day meal and Integrated Child Development Services (ICDS) have been harnessed to distribute fortified rice in all states.

    The Food Safety and Standards Authority of India (FSSAI) claims that, “Food fortification is a scientifically proven, cost-effective, scalable and sustainable global intervention that addresses the issue of micronutrient deficiencies.”

    But campaigners advocating for food diversification instead of fortification point to conflict of interests on the part of FSSAI. “Entities that will benefit from the rice fortification push are even housed in regulatory bodies like FSSAI,” says the Right to Food Campaign, pointing to the enormous influence these entities have on policy decision-making.

    Population and Development Commission: ‘Perfect Storm’ of Crises Take Shape

    Opening its fifty-fifth session under the theme ‘Population and sustainable development, in particular sustained and inclusive economic growth,’ marks success for a body that has historically been plagued by gridlock and disagreement.

    Against the backdrop of shifting population demographics, conflicts, post-pandemic shocks and climate change, the developing world is on the brink of a “perfect storm” of debt, food and energy crises, experts warned the Commission on Population and Development on Monday.

    While sounding the alarm over the planet’s unequal COVID-19 recovery and notable reductions in public spending for youth, older people and other vulnerable populations, officials from across the UN system stressed that this multipronged crisis has a “decidedly female face.”

    Opening its fifty-fifth session under the theme “Population and sustainable development, in particular sustained and inclusive economic growth,” marks success for a body that has historically been plagued by gridlock and disagreement.

    Population, poverty, economic growth

    Commission Chair Enrique A. Manalo said that efforts to slow population growth, decrease poverty, realize economic progress, protect the environment and reduce unsustainable consumption and production are all mutually reinforcing.

    With poverty and inequality gaining renewed attention amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the insights outlined in the Programme of Action agreed upon at the 1994 International Conference on Population and Development in Cairo, Egypt are as relevant today as ever, he stressed.

    Although the world’s challenges are not caused by population growth, they are compounded by it, making it more difficult to tackle, he said.

    Rising inequality

    Rebecca Grynspan, head of the UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), warned that a systemic debt crisis is unfolding for billions in the developing world – with inflation at a multi-decade high and civil unrest brewing in all corners of the world.

    Meanwhile, progress towards realizing the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and its 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) has been severely hampered as inequalities are rising.

    She drew attention to the world’s large generation of young people, as well as women, voicing hope that their innovative ideas will help reverse these negative trends.

    Critical care work

    In her keynote address, Jayati Ghosh, Professor in the Department of Economics, at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst, emphasized that the “perfect storm” of challenges described by Ms. Grynspan cannot be tackled without inclusion.

    That means reducing inequalities, which will always engender backlash and pushback.

    She also voiced concern over the continuing disinvestment in care work, a burden which will only increase amid future demographic challenges and climate change impacts.

    “If we do not empower women … we will be unable to deal with the major challenges facing society,” she cautioned.

    ‘Gathering storm of adversity’

    Deputy Secretary-General Amina Mohammed agreed that the pandemic lent a fresh urgency to the challenges being discussed by the Commission.  COVID-19 kept boys and girls out of school, increased the burden of care work — especially for women — and exacerbated gender-based violence.

    At the same time, the world remains far off track on the goal of eliminating hunger and malnutrition by 2030, and the numbers of people affected by hunger are projected to increase by tens of millions as the war in Ukraine causes food and energy prices to skyrocket.

    “In the face of this gathering storm of adversity, we must come together as an international community,” she said, adding, “we urgently need to renew the social contract to rebuild trust and social cohesion.”

    High stakes for women, girls

    Meanwhile, UN Population Fund chief Natalia Kanem said that COVID-19 has made painfully clear the need for massive investments in family planning services and national health systems that are universal, resilient, data-driven and adequately staffed.

    “Lack of bodily autonomy and reproductive choices continue to block women’s path to equality and full participation in economic life,” she said, expressing concern over declining funding for population-related matters – especially sexual and reproductive health and reproductive rights – as countries shift their priorities amid the pandemic.

    “We cannot afford further reversals – the stakes for women, girls and young people, and for their societies, are far too high,” she said.

    “We still see the immense wisdom of putting women and girls at the centre of economic and social development.”

     

    Image: Hippopx, licensed to use under Creative Commons Zero – CC0

    Building Resilience and Preventative Responses to Withstand Global Crises

    Resilience to shocks is no longer just about bouncing back — it’s also about building preparedness for even bigger disruptions. The climate crisis, COVID-19, and geopolitical conflicts epitomise the biggest risks of our time and illustrate how mainstream economic analysis has undervalued long-term prevention. But the escalating dangers call for a higher priority to be given to preparedness as part of resilience building.

    By Danny Quah and Vinod Thomas

    In the 1981 film Quest for Fire, a prehistoric tribe in Palaeolithic Europe finds that its most precious possession, a fire, got put out. This presented an existential crisis because, while the tribe knew how to use fire, it did not know how to make it. It is vital to be aware of tipping points and irreversible losses because if the flame gets extinguished, there’s no coming back. Whether it is a conflict with a country or with nature, sustainability calls for managing conflicts for the common good.

    Greater resilience is not about simply reinforcing robustness to withstand bigger shocks. Large skyscrapers that can sway do better than rigid ones. Financial strength was no defence against COVID-19, whose dangers include constant mutation. The East Asian experience suggests that adaptive government responses and civic cooperation are what count. Uncertainty calls for stress-tests of system functionality, be it national defence or health care, just as central banks test financial systems.

    Influencing shocks through policies

    One lesson learnt from COVID-19 is that risk management for the future must be attended to during the exigencies of crisis management. The resilience of health systems is essential in determining society’s ability to bounce back from pandemics. The damage to socioeconomic systems from shocks depends on their built-in readiness. Just as East Asia learnt from the 1997 Asian financial crisis and was able to withstand the 2008 global financial crisis relatively well, resilience against the next pandemic after COVID-19 will also be determined in part by the risk management measures added during the current outbreak.

    The common understanding of risk is as the probability of a shock multiplied by its impact, be it the climate crisis, geopolitical conflict or a pandemic (top dangers as assessed by the 2021 World Economic Forum). Resilience building can modify the probability of a seemingly exogenous shock and make the risk at least in part endogenous, underscoring the possibility of influencing shocks through policies.

    The disturbance caused by an initial shock can evolve differently depending on preparedness. The emergence of COVID-19 was an exogenous shock but its effects varied depending on a country’s readiness. Geopolitical conflicts can also seem exogenous but are influenced by investments and actions. For example, a small accident in the South China Sea could lead to differing degrees of aggression and confrontation. The future development of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine may take multiple paths, including unthinkable conflict scenarios at a global scale, but Ukraine’s efforts in resilience building can also shape outcomes.

    Mitigation must complement adaptation

    Natural disasters like floods and storms, a perennial threat to lives and livelihoods in East Asia, have long been considered exogenous shockwaves. But evidence on the anthropogenic nature of climate disasters suggests that mitigation, prevention and adaptation are possible. Climate adaptation, like building sea defences or better drainage systems, is essential given the inevitability of changes underway. Mitigation efforts, like cutting carbon emissions, alter the severity of changes.

    Adaptation is politically more palatable as its benefits are felt directly within a country. In contrast, mitigation by one country invokes the risk of free ridership and a moral hazard of avoidance of action by another. That said, mitigation, complementing adaptation, is the key to the survival of the planet.

    The confluence of risks — from geopolitical dangers to the climate crisis — calls for a paradigm shift in emphasising resilience building. When threats combine exogenous and endogenous dimensions, as they often do, the emphasis needs to be not only on adaptation to the inevitable but also mitigation. The world has underinvested in mitigating risks, as seen in the case of climate change by the continued rise of carbon emissions. It is time to fundamentally change the way policymakers around the world think about crisis management and resilience and invest far more into mitigation efforts.

     

    Danny Quah is Dean and Li Ka Shing Professor in Economics at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore.

    Vinod Thomas is a Visiting Professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore.

     

    This piece has been sourced from the East Asia Forum of the Australian National University

    Humanity’s Broken Risk Perception is Reversing Global Progress, says UNDRR Report

    A ‘spiral of self-destruction’ is on, says the UN’s flagship Global Assessment Report, adding that this could undo social and economic advances and face 1.5 disasters a day by 2030.

    Human activity and behaviour is contributing to an increasing number of disasters across the world, putting millions of lives and every social and economic gain in danger, warns a new UN report.

    The Global Assessment Report (GAR2022), released by the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) ahead of the Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction in May, reveals that between 350 and 500 medium- to large-scale disasters took place every year over the past two decades. The number of disaster events is projected to reach 560 a year – or 1.5 disasters a day – by 2030.

    The GAR2022 blames these disasters on a broken perception of risk based on “optimism, underestimation and invincibility,” which leads to policy, finance and development decisions that exacerbate existing vulnerabilities and put people in danger.

    “The world needs to do more to incorporate disaster risk in how we live, build and invest, which is setting humanity on a spiral of self-destruction,” said Amina J. Mohammed, Deputy Secretary-General of the United Nations, who presented the report at the UN headquarters in New York.

    “We must turn our collective complacency to action. Together we can slow the rate of preventable disasters as we work to deliver the Sustainable Development Goals for everyone, everywhere.”

    Asia-Pacific loss 1.6 per cent of GDP

    The report entitled “Our World at Risk: Transforming Governance for a Resilient Future,” found that the implementation of disaster risk reduction strategies, as called for in the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030, had reduced both the number of people impacted and killed by disasters in the last decade.

    However, the scale and intensity of disasters are increasing, with more people killed or affected by disasters in the last five years than in the previous five.

    Disasters disproportionately impact developing countries, which lose an average of one per cent of GDP a year to disasters, compared to 0.1-0.3 per cent in developed countries. The highest cost is borne by the Asia-Pacific region, which loses an average 1.6 per cent of GDP to disasters every year, while the poorest also suffer the most within developing countries.

    Adding to the long term impacts of disasters is the lack of insurance to aid in recovery efforts to build back better. Since 1980, just 40 per cent of disaster-related losses were insured while insurance coverage rates in developing countries were often below 10 per cent, and sometimes close to zero, the report said.

    “Disasters can be prevented, but only if countries invest the time and resources to understand and reduce their risks,” said Mami Mizutori, Special Representative of the Secretary-General for Disaster Risk Reduction and Head of UNDRR.

    “By deliberately ignoring risk and failing to integrate it in decision making, the world is effectively bankrolling its own destruction. Critical sectors, from government to development and financial services, must urgently rethink how they perceive and address disaster risk.”

    Complex risks

    A growing area of risk is around more extreme weather events as a result of climate change.  GAR2022 builds on the calls to accelerate adaptation efforts made at COP26 by showcasing how policymakers can climate-proof development and investments. This includes reforming national budget planning to consider risk and uncertainty, while also reconfiguring legal and financial systems to incentivize risk reduction. It also offers examples that countries can learn from, such as Costa Rica’s innovative carbon tax on fuel launched in 1997, which helped to reverse deforestation, a major driver of disaster risks, while benefiting the economy.  In 2018, 98 per cent of the electricity in Costa Rica came from renewable energy sources.

    GAR2022 was drafted by a group of experts from around the world as a reflection of the various areas of expertise required to understand and reduce complex risks. The findings of the report will feed into the Midterm Review of the implementation of the Sendai Framework, which includes national consultations and reviews of how countries are performing against the goal, targets and priorities for action of the Sendai Framework.

    “As the Midterm Review of the Sendai Framework is underway, this report should be a wake-up call that countries need to accelerate action across the Framework’s four priorities to stop the spiral of increasing disasters,” said Mizutori

    “The good news is that human decisions are the largest contributors to disaster risk, so we have the power to substantially reduce the threats posed to humanity, and especially the most vulnerable among us.”