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    Endgame for Polio in Pakistan

    Pakistan recently reported that its campaign to eradicate polio reached a critical milestone with no cases reported for a year.

    By Zofeen Ebrahim / Inter Press Service

    “It was like a heavy burden had been lifted, and I could breathe easier,” said Irum Khan, a polio worker, recalling the cloudy, gloomy, winter morning of 28 January 2022, when her supervisor announced Pakistan had not reported a single case of a child afflicted with polio since 27 January 2021, the last time when a polio case was reported from the province of Balochistan.

    “There were 16 of us, and we all burst in applause. It was the best news we had heard in years,” said the 20-year-old Khan, working with the polio eradication programme since 2018, in Dera Ismail Khan, in the province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, once a hotbed of polio.

    The day passed like a breeze as she went about her work, administering polio drops to children under five. On a daily basis, she visits between 30-50 households, and each home may have between three to five families living together.

    “I was on some sort of a high; even those who refused and sent me away failed to dampen my mood,” she added.

    “Without the unwavering support of the 380,000 polio workers, we would never have been able to reach this milestone,” said Dr Shahzad Baig, national coordinator for the Pakistan Polio Eradication Programme, speaking over the phone from Islamabad.

    The director-general for health at the ministry of national health services, Dr Rana Safdar, Baig’s predecessor, agreed. He gave all the credit to “hundreds of thousands of our frontline workers who demonstrated an unprecedented commitment to battle polio”.

    Fluctuating numbers

    In 2015, there were 54 cases, 20 in 2016 and only 8 in 2017. Pakistan thought it would be possible to eradicate polio, having reached single-digit cases, but then the country saw a surge with 12 cases in 2018. And in 2019, 147 cases were detected.

    Safdar, who had left the polio programme in 2019 after working there for six years, returned when the surge began and was tasked with reorganising it so that work on polio eradication could be carried out in tandem with the routine childhood immunisation.

    In 2020, like in the rest of the world, Pakistan was in the grip of COVID-19. Both the anti-polio campaigns and routine immunisation had to be suspended to ensure the safety of the workers and communities, explained Safdar. That year, up to 84 cases were reported.

    “We enhanced our outreach to vaccinate eligible children against all vaccine-preventable diseases in an organised manner and were able to reach them in the remotest pockets where communities were finding it difficult to access our healthcare facilities, taking full COVID-19 precautions,” said the director-general.

    But it is not the time for the government to sit on its laurels. Although the “finish line is visible”, for him “the job is far from over”, and Pakistan cannot let its guard down, Baig said.

    Virus still lurking around

    The reason for caution, explained Irum Khan, was because the virus is still lurking around in the environment and her district. “The virus was found in some environmental samples,” she said, and therefore the “danger is not over yet”.

    Baig said that in the last three months of the environmental samples collected from 64 sites, two were found to have the poliovirus in the towns of Lakki Marwat and Tank, in Dera Ismail Khan district.

    Polio spreads quickly, and chances of an outbreak could become imminent. “We need to kill the virus on its turf before it reaches other bigger cities of, say Quetta, Karachi or Islamabad,” he said.

    His apprehension is palpable. Dera Ismail Khan is the hub from where large swathes of the population move, both from bordering Afghanistan (the only other country where polio is endemic after Pakistan) and the tribal belt of the province and then inward to other provinces.

    “Instead of fighting the polio battle across the country, if we can focus the fight in these districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), we can become polio-free in the next three years,” says the polio programme head.

    Although the virus does not respect borders, be it Pakistan or Afghanistan, a much stricter border control since the takeover of Kabul by the Taliban on August 15, 2021, has meant the free and frequent movement of Afghan nationals has been contained to some extent.

    Reluctant parents

    In addition, the persistent refusals by anti-vaxxers could also lead to the spread of the virus. “I am worried the virus may reach the children who are kept hidden from polio workers,” said Baig.

    “They tell us the child is not home, or he or she is sleeping and to come later, or that they are busy and to come later; some will hide their children,” said Bushra Khan, a polio worker from KP’s capital city, Peshawar. She said they have to make as many as “four visits” just to administer two drops because the time is not convenient for the parents, or they don’t want to get their children vaccinated.

    The price for two drops

    This attitude of nonchalance, according to Irum Khan, is because the vaccine is free, and people do not value it because they are not paying for it.

    “Put a price tag on this vaccine, and you will see parents bringing their kids to the health centres,” she said.

    According to Baig, the two drops cost the government Rs 130 (74 cents)/per child, and over 40 million under-five children were administered these drops in the last nationwide campaign.

    Providing security to the polio workers is another task. As many as 70 polio workers have been killed by militants since 2012, a majority in KP. But those providing them with the security are also on the radar of miscreants. In December 2021, two policemen accompanying polio vaccination teams were killed and two injured in separate incidents in Tank and Lakki Marwat. And last month, in January, one more police officer was killed in KP’s Kohat.

    “This saps the morale of the team. The families get scared and are reluctant to send the workers out in the field. This means we have to organise the 2-member team all over again, train the ones who are new, some of whom may be new to the community they are serving,” said Baig. “And it’s not even that we are paying handsomely for it to be worth their life,” he added, referring to Rs 1,000/day (USD 5.67) wage.

    Still, according to Dr Safdar, the biggest challenge is the burnout of polio workers and “keeping teams motivated on both sides of the borders (between Pakistan and Afghanistan) till we reach the finish line”.

     

    This piece has been sourced from Inter Press Service

    Image: Emergency Operation Centre, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

    Reducing methane emissions at landfills

    Loci Controls, founded by two MIT alumni, helps landfill operators capture more of the potent greenhouse gas.

    Zach Winn  |  MIT News Office

    The second-largest driver of global warming is methane, a greenhouse gas 28 times more potent than carbon dioxide. Landfills are a major source of methane, which is created when organic material decomposes underground.

    Now a startup that began at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) is aiming to significantly reduce methane emissions from landfills with a system that requires no extra land, roads, or electric lines to work. The company, Loci Controls, has developed a solar-powered system that optimizes the collection of methane from landfills so more of it can be converted into natural gas.

    At the center of Loci’s (pronounced “low-sigh”) system is a lunchbox-sized device that attaches to methane collection wells, which vacuum the methane up to the surface for processing. The optimal vacuum force changes with factors like atmospheric pressure and temperature. Loci’s system monitors those factors and adjusts the vacuum force at each well far more frequently than is possible with field technicians making manual adjustments.

    Optimism

    “We expect to reduce methane emissions more than any other company in the world over the next five years,” Loci Controls CEO Peter Quigley says. The company was founded by Melinda Hale Sims and Andrew Campanella, both MIT alumni.

    The reason for Quigley’s optimism is the high concentration of landfill methane emissions. Most landfill emissions in the US come from about 1,000 large dumps. Increasing collection of methane at those sites could make a significant dent in the country’s overall emissions.

    In one landfill where Loci’s system was installed, for instance, the company says it increased methane sales at an annual rate of 180,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent. That’s about the same as removing 40,000 cars from the road for a year.

    Loci’s system is currently installed on wells in 15 different landfills. Quigley says only about 70 of the 1,000 big landfills in the US sell gas profitably. Most of the others burn the gas. But Loci’s team believes increasing public and regulatory pressure will help expands its potential customer base.

    Uncovering a major problem

    The idea for Loci came from a revelation by Sims’ father, serial entrepreneur Michael Hale (also a MIT alumni). The elder Hale was working in wastewater management when he was contacted by a landfill in New York that wanted help using its excess methane gas.

    “He realized if he could help that particular landfill with the problem, it would apply to almost any landfill,” Sims says.

    At the time, Sims was pursuing her PhD in mechanical engineering at MIT and minoring in entrepreneurship.

    Her father didn’t have time to work on the project, but Sims began exploring technology solutions to improve methane capture at landfills in her business classes. The work was unrelated to her PhD, but her advisor, David Hardt, professor in manufacturing at MIT, was understanding. (Hardt had also served as PhD advisor for Sim’s father, who was, after all, the person to blame for Sim’s new side project.)

    Sims partnered with Andrew Campanella, then a master’s student focused on electrical engineering, and the two went through the delta v summer accelerator program hosted by the Martin Trust Center for MIT Entrepreneurship.

    Quigley was retired but serving on multiple visiting committees at MIT when he began mentoring Loci’s founders. He’d spent his career commercializing reinforced plastic through two companies, one in the high-performance sporting goods industry and the other in oil field services.

    “What captured my imagination was the emissions-reduction opportunity,” Quigley says.

    Methane is generated in landfills when organic waste decomposes. Some landfill operators capture the methane by drilling hundreds of collection wells. The vacuum pressure of those wells needs to be adjusted to maximize the amount of methane collected, but Quigley says technicians can only make those adjustments manually about once a month.

    Loci’s devices monitor gas composition, temperature, and environmental factors like barometric pressure to optimize vacuum power every hour. The data the controllers collect is aggregated in an analytics platform for technicians to monitor remotely. That data can also be used to pinpoint well failure events, such as flooding during rain, and otherwise improve operations to increase the amount of methane captured.

    “We can adjust the valves automatically, but we also have data that allows on-site operators to identify and remedy problems much more quickly,” Quigley explains.

    Furthering a high-impact mission

    Methane capture at landfills is becoming more urgent as improvements in detection technologies are revealing discrepancies between methane emission estimates and reality in the industry. A new airborne methane sensor deployed by NASA, for instance, found that California landfills have been leaking methane at rates as much as six times greater than estimates from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. The difference has major implications for the Earth’s atmosphere.

    A reckoning will have to occur to motivate more waste management companies to start collecting methane and to optimize methane capture. That could come in the form of new collection standards or an increased emphasis on methane collection from investors. (Funds controlled by billionaires Bill Gates and Larry Fink are major investors in waste management companies.)

    For now, Loci’s team, including co-founder and current senior advisor Sims, believes it’s on the road to making a meaningful impact under current market conditions.

    “When I was in grad school, the majority of the focus on emissions was on CO2,” Sims says. “I think methane is a really high-impact place to be focused, and I think it’s been underestimated how valuable it could be to apply technology to the industry.”

     

    Reprinted with permission of MIT News (http://news.mit.edu/)

     

    Image: Wikimedia — Garbage Dump of Malayer; Iman Hamikhah

    Budget 2022: Disappointment for social sector

    The total union budget expenditure as a proportion of the GDP has declined to 15.3 per cent in 2021-22 from 16.2 per cent in 2022-23. Such a drop is, by default, accompanied by a negative impact on social and economic sector spending.

    By Jawed A Khan

    The economic survey projects real gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by 8 to 8.5 per cent in 2022-23.  Union Budget 2022-23 was presented in the wake of rising unemployment, high inflation, low consumption demand and growing inequality in the country.

    However, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman did not mention a single word regarding these pressing problems the country is facing in her budget speech. She said that this budget will provide impetus to long-term growth through a range of priorities: the PM GatiShakti, inclusive development, productivity enhancement and investment, sunrise opportunities, energy transition and climate action and financing of investments with sab ka paryas.

    Despite these claim, the finance minister has not mentioned any step to double the farm income in the budget. In fact, agriculture and allied activates which support the bulk of population has seen a marginal increase of just two per cent in this budget. Yet, the share of the agriculture budget in the total budget allocation has gone down from 4.26 per cent in 2021-22 to 3.84 per cent in 2022-23.

    How can we ignore MGNREGA while speaking of the economic life in the countryside? The budget allocation for the flagship rural employment guarantee scheme has seen a dip of 25 per cent in this budget from the revised estimates of 2021-22. The allocation declined to Rs. 73,000 crores from Rs 98,000 crores.  Besides, a pending wage of Rs 21,000 crore continues to be a matter of concern. Higher allocation could have boosted consumption demand and could have raised employment opportunities in rural areas. This was especially needed in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the uncertainties of employment in the coming year.

    Pompous words but little money

    Similar trends have been observed in the budget’s allocations for other social sectors as well. The budgets for education, health and investments for improving the lives of the marginalised sections of society like schedule castes, tribal communities, religious minorities, women, children and persons with disabilities have been similarly impacted.

    A look at other social sectors shows a similar trend of pompous words in a budget speech but with little budgetary outlay to support these. For instance, in terms of the universalisation of quality education, the One class One TV channel programme is to be expanded to 200 television channels. But the question remains, how does the budget propose to achieve this.

    In the same breath, several announcements were made under the health budget, like the national digital health ecosystem, national tele-mental health programme, integrated security architecture: mission shakti, mission vatsalya, saksham anganwadi, and poshan 2.0. (Saksham Anganwadi will lead to the upgrading of two lakh anganwadis). However, these announcements are not backed by adequate budgetary provision.

    Initiatives for inclusive welfare in budget 2022-23

    Har Ghar, Nal Se Jal: 3.8 crore households to be covered in 2022-23

    PM-DevINE: To fund infrastructure and social development based on felt needs of the North East

    Aspirational Blocks Programme: For development of lagging blocks of aspirational districts

    Vibrant Villages Programme: Targeting development of villages on the Northern Border left out from the development gains

    Digital Banking by Post Offices: 100 per cent of post offices to come on the core banking system

    Digital Payments: Scheduled Commercial Banks to set up 75 Digital Banking Units in 75 districts

    Need to invest in children

    The total union budget expenditure as a proportion of the GDP has declined to 15.3 per cent in 2021-22 from 16.2 per cent in 2022-23. Such a drop is, by default, accompanied by a negative impact on social and economic sector spending.

    The mid-day meal scheme, we are now told, has been renamed as PM poshan shakti nirman with reduced allocation of Rs 10,233 crore from last year’s allocation of Rs 11,500 crore. During the pandemic, it will affect the child retention rate as well as nutrition. India ranked 101 out of 116 countries in the global hunger index – a score calculated on the basis of important nutrition, especially child nutrition figures provided by the government of India.

    There is, however, a slight improvement in the school education budget at Rs 63.499 crores in 2022-23. This is up from last year’s budget of Rs 54,873 crore, even if it is a mere six per cent of nominal increase compared to the budget estimates for 2021-22. Let us not forget that India’s low spending on education is an important factor that leads to India’s a poor human development index (HDI) ranking at 131 out of 189 countries.

     

    Jawed A Khan is with the Centre for Budget and Governance Accountability

    Image: Hippopx licensed to use under Creative Commons Zero – CC0

    Birds in Delhi ponds remind us why we should not ignore small urban wetlands

    A study recorded about 170 bird species in Delhi’s ponds amidst housing colonies, inside parks, next to industry, and other urban sites – evidence to Delhi’s rich bird diversity. Several migratory birds arrive here. But the wetlands they halt at are at risk of disappearing and degrading.

    By Kartik Chandramouli

    A small waterbody littered with the city’s garbage and sewage is made vibrant by painted storks – large bald birds with bright pink tail-ends and long down-curved yellow beaks. Three individuals stand in the murky waters of the roughly 2.5-hectare Sardar Patel Lake, surrounded by a dense carpet of houses and roads, in north-west Delhi.

    The National Capital Territory (NCT) of Delhi hosts over 400 bird species. As per a 2021 study, on winter birds in Delhi ponds, researchers recorded 37% of the city’s bird species in its ponds, which they defined as water bodies sizing less than five hectares.

    Pied avocets wade the waters of an accidental pond, a waterlogged site next to a flyover construction project in Delhi. The bird with an unusual up-curved beak travels from Central Asia and Europe to the Indian subcontinent.

    Hidden from morning walkers passing by a pond in a park, a greenish warbler flutters in the vegetation around the pond. The tiny migrant descends into Delhi during winter, year after year.

    Birds in urban water bodies are a usual sight but are often ignored.

    Bird habitat in a megacitiy

    Motivated by the lack of research on urban pond ecology in India, Prakhar Rawal, the study’s primary author, decided to look closer home. The capital city’s wetlands are at risk due to encroachment, real estate activities, dumping of solid waste and untreated sewage.

    “The first objective was to understand the potential of these sites as bird habitats in megacities like Delhi and to see what kind of bird diversity was supported at these sites,” said Rawal.

    Out of India’s total wetland area, 15.26 million hectares, it is estimated that nearly 8 per cent is likely to be situated within urban sprawls. While 3.64 per cent of the country’s wetlands are less than 2.25 hectares, the only national database of wetlands denotes them as points on a map without definite boundaries and shapes. Since a detailed wetland map of Delhi wasn’t readily available to the authors, they analysed Google Earth images taken over ten years to plot the city’s wetlands. Of the resulting 574 wetlands, they conducted surveys in 39 ponds of various sizes up to 5 hectares.

    “Even though ponds were 0.5 per cent of Delhi’s area, we ended up with more than 170 bird species estimated for the ponds of Delhi,” said K.S. Gopi Sundar, a scientist at Nature Conservation Foundation and the study co-author. “That constituted 37 per cent of Delhi’s known bird diversity and one of the highest known diversities of any urban wetland system, let alone only urban ponds.”

    Arriving via an avian highway

    Water birds and terrestrial birds cross international borders to arrive in the Indian subcontinent during winters. For some birds on this flight path, Delhi’s ponds are pit stops and refuelling stations in their long journey. For others, the ponds are the destination.

    During the study, Rawal’s favourite moment was recording migratory ducks such as northern shovelers and waders such as bar-tailed godwits at an unnamed pond near an industrial estate in west Delhi. They would have flown along the Central Asian Flyway (CAF), one of the nine global bird migratory routes.

    India plays a vital role in the CAF, which spans a large area of Eurasia between the Arctic and Indian Oceans. It provides critical stopover sites, mainly wetlands, to over 90% of the bird species known to use this migratory route. Furthermore, a vast majority of migratory waterbirds that arrive in India use urban and other human-dominated landscapes beyond national parks and sanctuaries. Their annual journey is increasingly being hindered by disappearing and degrading habitats.

    According to Sundar, nearly 30-40% of the birds observed during their study were migratory. “That’s a huge proportion and number of birds to have using ponds inside a city. We previously did not know that urban ponds are also a very important place for such a large number of migratory species. So Delhiites are very lucky in the sense that this ancient phenomenon of migration is still occurring all around them.”

    Monica Kaushik, who has studied the role of urban green spaces for bird conservation in the Himalayan city of Dehradun, said, “It’s important to not think about the green spaces or the urban biodiversity only in the local context.”

    Extinction of experience

    During their study, Rawal and the team didn’t have historical checklists of birds for the sites selected. Citizen science platforms that crowdsource information from birdwatchers also revealed negligible data from the ponds. Kaushik, who was involved in a pioneering effort to analyse citizen science data for the State of India’s Birds Report 2020, feels that sites far from roads and lesser-known areas often become a “black hole” in data. If present, the information can help us understand much more about birds.

    Kaushik, a visiting assistant professor at the School of Human Ecology, Ambedkar University Delhi, highlighted another reason to conserve nature within cities. “There’s an ongoing alienation from nature called the ‘extinction of experience’. We want the younger generations to experience it [the natural world] first hand too.”

    Turning lens to smaller wetlands

    Apart from hosting biodiversity, smaller wetlands can also recharge groundwater, control floods and regulate local temperatures. All a matter of concern in Delhi and Indian cities at large.

    Ritesh Kumar, director of Wetlands International South Asia, explained that the term ‘small’ could be misleading. “One wetland of half an acre might have a low [groundwater] recharge value, but a system of 20 odd wetlands in a landscape would have a sizable contribution to hydrology, ecology and everything.”

    The NCR also lost 38 per cent of its wetlands to conversion by construction activities, encroachments and pollution between 1970 and 2014. Kumar said that smaller wetlands seem to be the most vulnerable habitats in a growing city.

    In a first attempt to map Delhi’s wetlands, which started in 2020, the Wetland Authority of Delhi has listed and given unique identification numbers to 1,043 wetlands of all sizes. The aim is to notify the water bodies officially as wetlands, which provides legal protection under the Wetland Protection Rules, 2017, against encroachment, solid waste dumping and other threats.

    K.S. Jayachandran, Member Secretary, Wetland Authority of Delhi, told Mongabay-India, “Our aim is long-term conservation, and we are prioritising notification of wetlands with larger size and higher risks.” As of January 5, 2022, the authority had mapped 1,014 waterbodies on a GIS platform, and ten wetlands were in the process of being notified.

    Delhi’s water bodies are owned by 16 different land agencies, creating a challenge in governance and conservation. Jayachandran added that a guideline for local agencies to follow ecological ways of managing urban wetlands would be out soon.

     

    This article was first published on Mongabay-India

    The ‘kidneys of the earth’ are disappearing

    Wetlands, the earth’s most threatened ecosystem, are disappearing three times faster than forests. In just 50 years since 1970, the world has lost 35 per cent of its water-plant-animal environs.

    By Baher Kamal / Inter Press Service

    India today announced the addition of two new Ramsar sites (wetlands of international importance). With these, India now has a network of 49 Ramsar sites covering an area of 10,93,636 hectares, the highest in SouthAsia.

    The new wetlands are the Khijadia Wildlife Sanctuary in Gujarat and the Bakhira Wildlife Sanctuary in Uttar Pradesh.

    With these, India has established the largest network of Ramsar Sites in South Asia.

    The Bakhira wildlife sanctuary provides a safe wintering and staging ground for a large number of species of the central asian flyway while Khijadia wildlife sanctuary is a coastal wetland with rich avifaunal diversity providing a safe habitat to endangered and vulnerable species.

    Wetlands, considered as a natural solution to the global threat of climate change, absorb carbon dioxide, help slow global heating and reduce pollution, hence they are often referred to as the ‘Kidneys of the Earth’.

    Specifically, peatlands alone store twice as much carbon as all the world’s forests combined. However, when drained and destroyed, wetlands emit vast amounts of carbon.

    Wetlands also provide a buffer against the impacts of floods, droughts, hurricanes and tsunamis, and build resilience to climate change.

    And though they cover only around six per cent of the earth’s land surface, 40 per cent of all plant and animal species live or breed in wetlands.

    Coastal wetlands, scientists say, sequester and store carbon up to 55 times faster than tropical rain forests.

    Rice, grown in wetland paddies, is the staple diet of 3.5 billion people.

    But… what are wetlands?

    Wetlands are ecosystems where water is the primary factor controlling the environment and the associated plant and animal life, explains the UN.

    A broad definition includes both freshwater and marine and coastal ecosystems such as all lakes and rivers, underground aquifers, swamps and marshes, wet grasslands, peatlands, oases, estuaries, deltas and tidal flats, mangroves and other coastal areas, coral reefs, and all human-made sites such as fishponds, rice paddies, reservoirs and saltpans.

    Although present in all world’s regions, about 30 per cent of the world’s wetlands are located in North America. Some of them developed after the previous glaciation created lakes. Asia and North America combined contain over 60% of the world’s wetland area.

    Critical to people and nature

    The World Day also explains that these lands are critical to people and nature, given the intrinsic value of these ecosystems, and their benefits and services, including their environmental, climate, ecological, social, economic, scientific, educational, cultural, recreational and aesthetic contributions to sustainable development and human wellbeing.

    Wetland biodiversity matters for our health, our food supply, for tourism and for jobs. Wetlands are vital for humans, for other ecosystems and for our climate, providing essential ecosystem services such as water regulation, including flood control and water purification.

    A billion people depend on wetlands

    They are vital habitats for wildlife, as well as important tools for mitigating the effects of climate change. They help to manage extreme weather events like floods and storms, and can store 10-20 times more carbon than temperate or boreal forests on land.

    Add to all that, more than a billion people across the world depend on them for their livelihoods – that’s about one in eight people on earth.

    Why are wetlands in danger?

    Wetlands are among the ecosystems with the highest rates of decline, loss and degradation, explains the World Day.

    Indicators of current negative trends in global biodiversity and ecosystem functions are projected to continue in response to direct and indirect drivers such as rapid human population growth, unsustainable production and consumption and associated technological development, as well as the adverse impacts of climate change.

    Wetlands are the most threatened of all ecosystems. Not only are they disappearing three times faster than forests – they are the earth’s most threatened ecosystem. In just 50 years — since 1970 — 35 per cent of the world’s wetlands have been lost.

    Human activities that lead to loss of wetlands include drainage and infilling for agriculture and construction, pollution, over-fishing and over-exploitation of resources, invasive species and climate change.

    In the specific case of the Mediterranean, for example, the region has lost 50 per cent of its natural wetlands since 1970 – and we continue to destroy them, warns the Union for the Mediterranean

    Wetland loss, threatened livelihoods and deepening poverty together makes a vicious circle that is the result of mistakenly seeing wetlands as wastelands rather than life-giving sources of jobs, incomes, and essential ecosystem services.

     

    This piece has been sourced from Inter Press Service

    Image: Jorge Luis Baños / IPS

    Humanitarian agencies write to finance minister. Seek consultative process

    Sphere India has asked the finance minister to institutionalise disaster risk and climate change adaptation budgeting in the union budgets to mark the shift from contingent liability approach of public financing to a risk management approach.

    Concerned about India’s growing vulnerability to climate changes and induced hazards of intense magnitude and frequency, Sphere India, a national coalition in the country of humanitarian, DRR, Climate Risk Management, Development actors has written to finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman, asking her ministry to revise the methodology for determining allocations for resilience and adaptation programmes.

    The umbrella group has sought combining socio-economic and location-wise vulnerability profiles of communities with realistic impact by harnessing available disaggregated data.

    Data from the World Meteorological Organisation released on the heels of COP26 that said that India lost US$ 87 billion due to natural disasters in 2020. The World Economic Forum too has documented 321 extreme weather-related events the country has experienced over 20 years.

    Devolve resources

    The group has sought the finance minister’s intervention to institutionalise disaster risk and climate change adaptation budgeting in the union budgets to mark the shift from contingent liability approach of public financing to a risk management approach.

    Arguing for devolving risk reduction and climate change adaptation resources to third tiers of governance, the group has suggested that programmes can be implemented locally “with leeway to redesign and introduce new programmes based on vulnerability and exposure profile of the regions and people monitored by the NDMA.”

    In the same breath – and contentious as it might seem in the backdrop of the government upping the ante against NGOs in recent months – Sphere India has proposed for facilitating government-NGO public review of the existing financial arrangements for their adequacy and return on investments on risk reduction and climate change adaptation indicators and invite inputs.

    By examining the effectiveness of existing relief and risk mitigation and climate change adaptation programmes “in a consultative process with humanitarian and development actors working on the forefront during emergencies,” will also afford the survivors and communities to participate in this inclusive process, Sphere India has said in its letter to the finance minister.

    The group of humanitarians working outside the government’s own machinery have also batted for the government’s own disaster management and disaster response machinery. The representation to the finance minister asks for more allocations to state governments under the national disaster response force (NDRF) and “proper revision of NDRF norms and standards based on currently prevalent costs.”

    Vulnerable groups and communities

    Sphere India has also advocated for government to make budgetary provisions for undertaking recovery and preparedness programmes for agricultural labour, landless and unorganised workers’, migrant workers’ losses in disasters in a comprehensive manner, based on vulnerability and risk exposure methods prescribed in the report of the 15th finance commission.

    The group of humanitarian actors has asked for a provision for disaster and climate risk budgeting to adopt “population proportionate allocations for ensuring special resilience and capacity needs of the vulnerable groups are met along with targeted programmes.”

    It has argued that communities and groups such as dalits and tribal people, children, women and disabled people bear an unequal impact of climate induced disasters. In this light, the letters says that the share of these groups in the union budget should be commensurate to their vulnerabilities.

    The humanitarian grouping has called for attention to data from the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB 2019) that says that ‘accidental deaths due to forces of nature and other causes 2015-2019 recorded an increase of 18.2 per cent.”

     

    Image: Sphere India

    Chinese machine biggie contributes turbines to power Pakistan

    Chinese business, driven by the belt and road initiative, are now promoting green energy through the development of wind power projects in Pakistan.

    Amazed onlookers clapped as a crane lifted and installed a massive 90 ton wind turbine — and with this 2.5 megawatts wind turbine in place, Chinese heavy machinery giant, Zoomlion, completed the commissioning of Pakistan’s latest, and largest wind-power producing turbine last week.

    This is the seventh wind construction project commissioned by the company in Pakistan, after its earlier seven: Indus Wind, ACT 2 Wind, Lakeside Energy, Din Energy, Tricom Wind and Liberty Wind, all contributing to over 500 megawatts of renewable energy.

    Chinese business, driven by the belt and road initiative, are now promoting green energy through the development of wind power projects.

    At present, wind power makes up a little over six per cent of Pakistan’s total electricity production. All of the country’s wind turbines come from Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology that entered the Pakistani market in 2004. In these years, Zoomlion has fostered local subsidiaries for in-depth localisation and development.

    “With the development of the belt and road initiative and the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), we will continue to promote the localization strategy by further enhancing the localization construction and the function construction of subsidiaries,” said Zoomlion Concrete Machinery Overseas Marketing Company’s Country Manager, Simon.

    Omicron sweeps across 57 countries: WHO

    The past week saw a decrease in the number of COVID-19 cases in the Americas and the South-East Asia Region, including India. However the number of new weekly deaths continued to increase, with the highest number of new deaths being reported from the US and India.

    Globally, during the week of 24 to 30 January 2022, the number of new COVID-19 cases remained similar to the number reported during the previous week, while the number of new deaths increased by 9 per cent, said the World Health Organisation in its weekly COVID-19 reports update.

    Over 22 million new cases and over 59,000 new deaths were reported across the six WHO regions, the global body said. As of 30 January 2022, over 370 million confirmed cases and over 5.6 million deaths have been reported globally. The increase in the number of new cases came from the Western Pacific region (37 per cent), the Eastern Mediterranean region (24 per cent) and the European region (7 per cent). The week also saw a decrease of 20 per cent in the Americas and a decrease of 8 per cent in South-East Asia Region (that includes Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Maldives, Myanmar and Sri Lanka, besides other countries of South East Asia).

    Sady, the number of new weekly deaths continued to increase in the South-East Asia region (41 per cent) and the Eastern Mediterranean Region and the Americas (16%).

    The highest number of new deaths due to COVID-19 during the week were reported from the US (13,558 new deaths or an increase of five per cent), India (4682 new deaths or an increase of 40 per cent), the Russian Federation (with 4,616 new deaths; similar to the previous week), Brazil (reporting 3321 new deaths accounting for an 88 per cent increase) and Italy (with 2618 new deaths, or a seven per cent increase).

    Geographic spread and prevalence of variants of concern

    According to WHO, the current global epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 is characterized by the continued rapid global spread of the Omicron variant. All other variants, including variants of concerns like including the Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta variants and the variants of interest (Lambda and Mu) continue to decline in all six WHO regions, according to WHO experts.

    But there is still deep concern about the rapidly spreading Omicron variant. “Among the 433,223 sequences uploaded to GISAID with specimens collected in the last 30 days, 403,991 (93.3 per cent) were Omicron (and), 29,004 (6.7 per cent) were Delta,” the organisation says

    Among the 433,223 sequences uploaded to GISAID with specimens collected in the last 30 days, 403 991 (93.3 per cent) were Omicron and 29,004 (6.7 per cent) were Delta. The remaining 10 were from the Alpha, Beta, Gama, Mu and Lambda.

    The Omicron variant

    The Omicron variant-defining constellation of mutations accounts for 96.4 per cent of sequences submitted to the the global initiative on sharing all influenza data (GISAID) as of 31 January 2022, according to WHO. Designated sequences have been submitted to GISAID from 57 countries to date, the WhO says.

    According to the WHO update, several Omicron lineages have been identified since the designation of the Omicron variant (B.1.1.529) as a variant of concern on 26 November 2021. All of these variants are being monitored by WHO under the umbrella of ‘Omicron’.

    “The common origin of these lineages has not yet been elucidated and it is not clear to date how and where the Omicron parental variant or the descendent lineages originated and further evolved,” WHO’s update says.

    In the meanwhile, GISAID says that Omicron is present in all seven continents. The unique mix of spike amino acid changes in Omicron is of interest as it comprises several that were previously identified to affect receptor binding and antibody escape,” GSAID says, adding, “As with all low frequency variants with potentially relevant changes, these need to be monitored closely to study if they spread more widely as a consequence of immune escape, or altered receptor interactions.”

    The timely detection of Omicron variants was made possible by researchers from Botswana, Hong Kong, South Africa who shared the first genomes of the variant.

    SouthAsia calls for increased tax revenues from the digitalized economy

    Recent research indicates that a tax-GDP ratio above 15 per cent is a “tipping point” that helps countries generate sufficient domestic resources that can be invested in health, education, and infrastructure and fuel economic growth and development levels.

    Abdul Muheet Chowdhary

    On 8 October 2021, the OECD/G20 inclusive framework (IF) on base erosion and profit shifting (BEPS) came to an agreement on the taxation of the digitalized economy. This agreement was known as the “Two Pillar solution”. BEPS is an influential standard-setting forum that produces rules on international taxation. So, it is important to begin a discourse on this inclusive framework (IF).

    Pillar One sought to update the rules through which highly digitalized businesses are taxed and Pillar Two established a global minimum corporate tax. Pillar One in particular was highly anticipated as modern businesses are increasingly moving away from brick-and-mortar operations to online modes. These have created tax challenges, as existing rules require the physical presence of companies in a country for them to be taxed. Thus, in the absence of a global solution, countries began resorting to unilateral measures to ensure that these companies, with famous examples being Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Google and Netflix (FAANGs), paid their fair share of taxes.

    However, Pillar One was criticized as being complex to administer and generating minimal to even negative revenues for developing countries. Four countries in the IF, two from Africa and two from South Asia, outrightly rejected the Two Pillar solution. These were Nigeria, Kenya, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. At the First African Fiscal Policy Forum in December 2021 organized by the South Centre and the Coalition for Dialogue on Africa, the finance ministers of Pakistan and Nigeria outlined their dissatisfaction and critiques of Pillar One, with the former saying it had “nothing for developing countries”.

    These countries have defied enormous pressure from the developed countries to conform and have taken a bold position to impose unilateral tax measures on the digitalized economy. This shows the importance of increased revenues for them. This article focuses on SouthAsia as a region, the tax revenue positions of its countries and the way forward vis-à-vis the digitalized economy.

    Large tax gaps

    Development – building schools, roads, hospitals, etc – requires funds. There are many sources of such funds. Of these, the single most important source is tax collection, known more formally as “domestic resource mobilization”. This has been recognized at the international level. Para 20 of the Addis Ababa Action Agenda says:

    “For all countries, public policies and the mobilization and effective use of domestic resources, underscored by the principle of national ownership, are central to our common pursuit of sustainable development, including achieving the sustainable development goals.”

    A commonly used indicator is the tax–GDP ratio. Recent research has begun indicating that a tax-GDP ratio above 15 per cent is a “tipping point”, which helps “countries generate sufficient domestic resources that can be invested in health, education, and infrastructure.” Countries with such a ratio have seen larger increases in economic growth and development levels.

    Where do SouthAsian countries stand in this regard? Data from the World Bank gives a fair clue to this question. According to the World Bank, Nepal (with 19.8 per cent taxes) and Bhutan (16 per cent taxes) are the only two SouthAsian countries that have managed to break out of the tipping point. The remaining countries are all within the 15 per cent threshold, with Afghanistan (9.9 per cent), Bangladesh (8.8 per cent) and Maldives (9.1 per cent) at critically low levels.

    The majority of SouthAsian countries need to undertake strong measures to accelerate tax collection such that it reaches and crosses the 15 per cent mark. For comparison, the average for OECD countries, the richest in the world, is 33.4 per cent. This will enable their government’s to channel money into human development.

    Clearly, there is work to be done.

    Dangerously high levels of external debt

    A natural question that may arise is how governments obtain funds if not through taxes. The answer more often than not is debt. The less a country’s tax-GDP ratio, the more it would be forced to rely on debt, which has multiple negative ramifications. A useful indicator in this regard is the ratio of the external debt stock (total amount of money owed to foreign creditors) to Gross National Income (GNI).

    The situation of SouthAsian countries in this regard shows that there is wide variation and an even split. Four countries, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India and Nepal, have low levels of external debt, ranging between 15 and 25 per cent. The other four have high levels of external debt, ranging from 45 per cent (Pakistan) to 132 per cent (Bhutan).

    Digital economy – a lucrative source of revenue 

    In this context it is understandable why Pakistan and Sri Lanka, both members of the Inclusive Framework, rejected the Two Pillar solution. Both Pillars would have deprived them of badly needed revenues, especially Pillar One.

    India, the largest SouthAsian country and also the largest SouthAsian economy, has agreed to the Two Pillar approach, but it simultaneously also championed an alternative solution in the United Nations known as Article 12B, which is much more suitable for developing countries. Further, India (and Maldives) have not yet legally agreed to implement Pillar One and the commitments made are only political and non-binding. It thus remains to be seen whether SouthAsian countries will actually adhere to the OECD’s solution. 

    All SouthAsian countries still have full freedom of action to decide how they want to proceed. The digitalization of the economy continues to grow, accelerated by COVID. Thus, effective taxation of these businesses will become an increasingly important source of revenue in the future.

    SouthAsian countries, amongst the poorest in the world, must conduct a careful cost-benefit analysis if they are considering proceeding with Pillar One. Agreeing to this means foregoing unilateral measures on all companies, including those out-of-scope and losing vital policy space. Further, the agreement will have a long shelf-life and likely last for the next 30-40 years. Thus, countries should be clear about what they are ‘getting into’. 

    There are many easier to implement alternatives which can bring these countries much larger revenues. Any cost-benefit analysis must also provide assessments of revenues available through alternative policy options and this must be publicly available. Policy makers must ensure that this critical decision is one that will bring South Asia, one of the cradles of human civilization, the needed resources to come out of extreme poverty and achieve the Sustainable Development Goals.

     

    Abdul Muheet Chowdhary is a Senior Programme Officer with the South Centre Tax Initiative, part of the Sustainable Development and Climate Change (SDCC) Programme at the South Centre, Geneva, an intergovernmental organization of developing countries.

    Preliminary questions Budget 2022 raises

    A zero allocation for the national programme on mid-day meals in schools is disturbing and the budget for the LPG connections for poor households and MGNREGA have been slashed. Simultaneously, there is an over 50 per cent hike in funds for MPLADS.

    As India stands at the thresholds of Amrit Kaal, the 25 year long lead up to India @100, the union budget presented by union finance minister has made provisions for 60 lakh new jobs to be created under the productivity linked incentive scheme in 14 sectors that have the potential to create an additional production of Rs 30 lakh crore.

    Yet, while the Vikas-aur-Virasat line for the tourism sector is sure to rent the air with pride, there is growing concern about how the budget impacts the life of the poorest.

    For instance, the budget sees a 25.5 per cent dip in allocation for the rural employment guarantee scheme, MGNREGA. The budget for the scheme in the upcoming financial year (2022-23) is ₹73,000 crores, as compared to ₹98,000 crores in the revised estimate for FY 2021-22. The figure remains unchanged from initial estimate for FY 2021-22.

    The revised estimates for for LPG connection scheme for poor households under the Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana for the past financial year (2021-22) is ₹1,618 crores where as the proposed for FY 2022-23 is ₹800 crores. This represents an over 50 per cent dip in allocation for LPG connection scheme for poor households.

    There is a more than 50 per cent hike in funds for MPLADS, the scheme allocating budgets for Members of Parliament to spend on development needs of their constituencies. Against a ₹2,634 crores in the revised estimates for FY 2021-22, the budget for the coming year proposes an allocation of ₹3,965 crores for 2022-23.

    Zero for mid-day meals

    Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s PM Poshan scheme has been allocated ₹10,234 crores for the coming financial year (2022-23). But there is a zero allocation for the national programme on mid-day meals in schools for FY 2022-23. The revised estimate for the now-ending financial year (2021-22) is ₹10,234 crores.

    The finance minister has proposed a more than 30 per cent dip in food subsidy for decentralised procurement of food grains under NFS Act: from revised estimates of ₹2,10,929 crores in FY 2021-22 to ₹1,45,920 crores in budget proposals for FY 2022-23.

    Right to Information activist Venkatesh Nayak points out, “CIC and public service establishment board have together been allocated ₹32.70 crore for FY 2022-23. But the Lokpal has been allocated total of ₹34 crores which includes ₹10 crores capital expenditure.”

    This raises questions. “₹34 crores to Lokpal for doing what exactly, is the question all of us must ask,” Nayak, who is the programme coordinator at the access to information programme of the Commonwealth Human Rights Initiative says.

    “₹104.50 crores allocated for industrial development in Jammu and Kashmir in FY 2021-22 budget has been revised to ₹1.82 crores – representing a fall of more than 98 per cent,” Venkatesh Nayak says, and asks. “Now 2022-23 budget is seeking ₹150 crores. Will it be spent or remain mostly unspent?”

    Nayak also alluded to the high expenditure on elections. “Expenditure on Lok Sabha elections was ₹13.87 crores in FY 2020-21 but the revised estimate in FY 2021-22 is ₹1,000 crores – that is almost ten times the original estimate of ₹100 crores.”

    He says that the demand for the coming financial year (2022-23) is ₹180 crores in this item. He says that the law ministry must clarify what the money was used for in 2021-22 and what is the proposed expenditure in 2022-23. The two years in question are not general election years, he says.

     

    Image: PIB